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TROPICAL STORM ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0601
1500Z WED SEP 05 2001
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  57.5W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1013 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  57.5W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  57.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 18.6N  59.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 19.5N  60.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 20.5N  62.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N  57.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 21.0N  63.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 22.5N  64.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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