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TROPICAL STORM ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0601
0900Z WED SEP 05 2001
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  57.3W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  75SE   0SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  57.3W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  56.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 19.4N  59.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 20.7N  61.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 22.0N  62.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N  57.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 23.2N  64.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 24.5N  65.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  75SW 100NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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