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TROPICAL STORM ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0601
1500Z SUN SEP 02 2001
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  39.7W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  39.7W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N  39.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 14.3N  41.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 15.1N  44.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 16.0N  47.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N  39.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 16.8N  49.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 18.5N  54.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE

 
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