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TROPICAL STORM DEAN SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0501
1800Z WED AUG 22 2001
 
...CORRECTED FOR HEADER... 
 
AT 2 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS INCLUDING
ACKLINS ISLAND...CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE
RAGGED ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.  A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN
SALVADOR.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  65.9W AT 22/1800Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  22 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT.......120NE  60SE   0SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  60SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  65.9W AT 22/1800Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  64.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 20.1N  68.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  60SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 21.7N  71.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  60SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 23.2N  72.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  60SW 120NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N  65.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 24.6N  72.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  60SW 120NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 26.4N  71.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  60SW 120NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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