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TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0401
0300Z TUE AUG 21 2001
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO
CANCUN...AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF
COASTAL BELIZE...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
FROM THE MEXICO/BELIZE BORDER NORTHWARD TO CANCUN.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
FROM PROGRESO TO CARMEN.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N  88.3W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......175NE 125SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE 175SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N  88.3W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  87.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 19.0N  90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...125NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.6N  91.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 20.1N  93.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N  88.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 20.5N  95.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 21.0N  97.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  60SE  60SW 120NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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