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TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0401
2100Z SUN AUG 19 2001
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM BELIZE CITY BELIZE NORTHWARD TO
CANCUN MEXICO.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BELIZE
SOUTH OF BELIZE CITY.  A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  82.0W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT.......125NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......150NE 100SE   0SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE  50SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  82.0W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N  81.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 17.0N  83.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...125NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 18.0N  86.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 19.0N  88.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  50SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N  82.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 20.5N  90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 22.5N  92.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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