HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0401
0900Z SAT AUG 18 2001
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR JAMAICA.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  71.3W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  20 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 35NE  35SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 100SE  25SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  71.3W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N  70.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 15.3N  74.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.1N  77.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  10SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 17.0N  80.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  10SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N  71.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 17.8N  82.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 19.5N  87.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
NNNN