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TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0401
0300Z SAT AUG 18 2001
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  69.2W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  20 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  75SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE  75SE   0SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  69.2W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  68.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 15.3N  72.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 16.2N  75.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  10SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 17.1N  78.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  10SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N  69.2W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 18.0N  81.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 19.5N  86.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  50NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
  
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