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TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0401
1500Z THU AUG 16 2001
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR DOMINICA AND THE GRENADINES. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT AND ST.
LUCIA.

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO HAS 
ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR GRENADA...TOBAGO AND ITS 
DEPENDENCIES. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR 
MARTINIQUE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N  55.3W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  23 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  50SE  50SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N  55.3W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N  54.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 13.5N  59.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 14.5N  64.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 15.0N  68.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N  55.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 16.0N  72.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 17.5N  77.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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