ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0401
0900Z THU AUG 16 2001
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BARBADOS AND ST. VINCENT...AND THE
GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ST.
LUCIA.
 
ALSO AT 5 AM AST...THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR THE GRENADINES AND DOMINICA.  A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR MARTINIQUE LATER THIS MORNING.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  52.6W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  24 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N  52.6W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.6N  51.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 13.0N  56.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 13.6N  60.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 14.3N  63.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N  52.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 15.0N  66.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 16.5N  71.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
NNNN