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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0401
1500Z WED AUG 15 2001
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N  45.0W AT 15/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  20 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N  45.0W AT 15/1500Z
AT 15/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N  44.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 12.5N  48.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 12.5N  52.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 13.0N  55.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N  45.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 13.5N  58.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 14.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW 100NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/2100Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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