HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OCTAVE DISCUSSION NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM PDT SAT NOV 03 2001

OCTAVE HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN AND TAFB HAS ESTIMATED THE INTENSITY
AT 25 KTS.  THE CONVECTION IS LIMITED TO A SMALL AREA NORTH OF THE
EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CENTER.  THE SHEAR REMAINS FORMIDABLE AND IS
FORECAST TO REMAIN SO.  THE SYSTEM IS NOW DECLARED A REMNANT LOW AND
WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO GENERATE A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO AS IT
CONTINUES MOVING TOWARD THE WEST ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A LARGE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE.

THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION 
OCCURS.

FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     03/2100Z 18.9N 133.1W    25 KTS...REMNANT LOW
12HR VT     04/0600Z 19.2N 134.4W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
24HR VT     04/1800Z 19.7N 136.1W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
 
NNNN