HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO DISCUSSION NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM PDT TUE SEP 25 2001

KIKO HAS BECOME A TIGHT SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS WITH LITTLE OR NO DEEP
CONVECTION.  VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS WRAPPING
AROUND THE SYSTEM...INDICATIVE OF A DISSIPATING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
A QUIKSCAT PASS FROM 14Z SHOWED ONLY 20-25 KT WINDS WITHIN 120 NM OF
EAST OF THE CENTER.  EVEN THOUGH DEEP CONVECTION IS LACKING AT THE
PRESENT TIME...INTERMITTENT FLARE-UPS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE REMNANTS
OF KIKO OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

KIKO HAS KEPT A WESTERLY COURSE THROUGHOUT THE DAY WITH INITIAL 
MOTION AT 270/07.  THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE TO THE STEERING 
SCENARIO.  THE REMNANT LOW IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN A WEST TO 
WEST-SOUTHWEST MOTION...AS THE SYSTEM REMAINS SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST 
OF A WEAK MID-LEVEL RIDGE.  

SINCE KIKO IS DISSIPATING...THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY UNLESS 
REGENERATION OCCURS. 

FORECASTER PASCH/MAINELLI
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     25/2100Z 19.2N 129.6W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
12HR VT     26/0600Z 19.1N 130.5W    25 KTS...REMNANT LOW
24HR VT     26/1800Z 18.7N 131.8W    25 KTS...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT     27/0600Z 18.5N 133.0W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT     27/1800Z 18.0N 134.0W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
72HR VT     28/1800Z 18.0N 136.0W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
 
NNNN