HOME	ARCHIVES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCDEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVO DISCUSSION NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT FRI SEP 14 2001
 
A QUIKSCAT PASS AND SHIP REPORTS SUGGEST THAT THE MAXIMUM WINDS 
CONTINUE TO DEMINISH...AND IVO DOES NOT HAVE ANY SIGNIFICANT 
CONVECTION AT THIS TIME.  WITH WATER TEMPERATURES NEAR 23C IT IS 
UNLIKELY TO DEVELOP ANY MORE.  IT IS QUITE LIKELY THAT THIS SYSTEM 
WILL NOT QUALIFY AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THIS AFTERNOON.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 285/9.  THE REMNANT LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS 
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON THIS GENERAL TRACK WITH THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW 
FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     14/1500Z 25.3N 116.6W    25 KTS
12HR VT     15/0000Z 25.5N 117.7W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
24HR VT     15/1200Z 25.8N 119.1W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT     16/0000Z 26.0N 120.5W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT     16/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
 
NNNN