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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E DISCUSSION NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM PDT THU AUG 23 2001
 
THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 355/14.  TD S-X-E HAS TRACKED NORTH 
OR NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS AND HAS CHANGED 
LITTLE.  DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS DISPLACED TO THE NORTH SIDE OF THE 
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION OWING TO THE SOUTHERLY SHEAR ON THE CYCLONE.
 
THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK AND INTENSITY 
FORECASTS OR REASONINGS. TD SIX-E IS EMBEDDED IN DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW 
AND SHOULD TRACK NORTHWARD OVER COLDER WATER AND BEGIN DISSIPATING 
IN 24 HOURS...IF NOT SOONER.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     23/0900Z 21.0N 136.7W    30 KTS
12HR VT     23/1800Z 22.6N 137.2W    30 KTS
24HR VT     24/0600Z 25.0N 137.4W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
36HR VT     24/1800Z 27.7N 137.4W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT     25/0600Z 30.4N 137.0W    20 KTS...REMNANT LOW
72HR VT     26/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
 
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