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TROPICAL STORM DALILA DISCUSSION NUMBER  28
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM PDT FRI JUL 27 2001
 
VISIBLE IMAGES DURING THE DAY REVEALED THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER WAS
A LITTLE TO THE NORTHEAST THAN THE POSITION INDICATED THIS MORNING.
THEREFORE...THE TRACK HAS BEEN ADJUSTED AND THE OVERALL MOTION
APPEARS TO BE ABOUT 295 DEGREES AT 8 KNOTS.  THIS WOULD BRING THE
TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER INCREASINGLY COOL WATERS.  CONSEQUENTLY...DEEP
CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DECREASE AND THE SYSTEM WILL PROBABLY BE A
SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS SOON.  SOME INTERMITTENT CONVECTION MAY DEVELOP
BEFORE DISSIPATION IN A DAY OR SO.  DALILA COULD TURN MORE TO THE
WEST..STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW...AS THE SYSTEM BECOMES SHALLOW.

FORECASTER AVILA
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     27/2100Z 21.3N 118.2W    35 KTS
12HR VT     28/0600Z 22.0N 119.5W    30 KTS
24HR VT     28/1800Z 22.5N 121.0W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
36HR VT     29/0600Z 22.5N 122.0W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
48HR VT     29/1800Z 22.5N 123.5W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
 
 
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