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TROPICAL STORM DALILA DISCUSSION NUMBER  27
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT FRI JUL 27 2001
 
DEEP CONVECTION VANISHED OVERNIGHT BUT THERE IS ONE SMALL
CONVECTIVE AREA DEVELOPING AS WE SPEAK.  INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN
REDUCED TO 40 KNOTS...ALTHOUGH DUE TO DVORAK CONSTRAINTS...WIND
ESTIMATES ARE A LITTLE BIT HIGHER.  DALILA IS OVER COOL WATER AND
WEAKENING IS FORECAST BUT...AS USUAL...SOME INTERMITTENT CONVECTION
MAY DEVELOP BEFORE DISSIPATION.

DALILA IS MOVING 280 AT 9 KNOTS AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST 
TO CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION IN A DAY OR SO. A TURN MORE TO THE 
WEST..STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW...IS LIKELY AS THE SYSTEM 
BECOMES SHALLOW.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     27/1500Z 20.7N 118.1W    40 KTS
12HR VT     28/0000Z 21.0N 119.5W    35 KTS
24HR VT     28/1200Z 21.5N 121.5W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
36HR VT     29/0000Z 22.0N 123.5W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
48HR VT     29/1200Z 22.5N 125.0W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
72HR VT     30/1200Z 22.5N 126.5W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
 
 
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