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TROPICAL STORM DALILA DISCUSSION NUMBER 27
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT FRI JUL 27 2001
DEEP CONVECTION VANISHED OVERNIGHT BUT THERE IS ONE SMALL
CONVECTIVE AREA DEVELOPING AS WE SPEAK. INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN
REDUCED TO 40 KNOTS...ALTHOUGH DUE TO DVORAK CONSTRAINTS...WIND
ESTIMATES ARE A LITTLE BIT HIGHER. DALILA IS OVER COOL WATER AND
WEAKENING IS FORECAST BUT...AS USUAL...SOME INTERMITTENT CONVECTION
MAY DEVELOP BEFORE DISSIPATION.
DALILA IS MOVING 280 AT 9 KNOTS AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST
TO CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION IN A DAY OR SO. A TURN MORE TO THE
WEST..STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW...IS LIKELY AS THE SYSTEM
BECOMES SHALLOW.
FORECASTER AVILA
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 27/1500Z 20.7N 118.1W 40 KTS
12HR VT 28/0000Z 21.0N 119.5W 35 KTS
24HR VT 28/1200Z 21.5N 121.5W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING
36HR VT 29/0000Z 22.0N 123.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING
48HR VT 29/1200Z 22.5N 125.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING
72HR VT 30/1200Z 22.5N 126.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING
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