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TROPICAL STORM ADOLPH DISCUSSION NUMBER  28
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT FRI JUN 01 2001
 

ADOLPH CONTINUES TO WEAKEN.  THE LAST QUIKSCAT PASS AT 0200Z SHOWED 
A FEW RAIN-FLAGGED 40 KT VECTORS.  THE DVORAK DECAY RULES YIELD A 
MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM AND THAT IS THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FOR THIS 
PACKAGE.  UNLESS THE NEXT QUIKSCAT SURPRISES...ADOLPH SHOULD BE A 
DEPRESSION THIS AFTERNOON AND PERHAPS DISSIPATED BY THIS EVENING.

FIRST VISIBLE IMAGERY THIS MORNING CONFIRMS THAT ADOLPH IS NOT
MOVING MUCH...PERHAPS 270/3.  THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS CAUGHT
BETWEEN ANTICYCLONES TO ITS SOUTHWEST AND NORTH.  TRACK MODEL
GUIDANCE IS DIVERGENT...BUT A SLOW WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION IS
LIKELY OVER THE TWO TO THREE DAYS AS THE CIRCULATION BEGINS TO
DISSOLVE.


FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     01/1500Z 16.2N 112.4W    35 KTS
12HR VT     02/0000Z 16.2N 112.6W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
24HR VT     02/1200Z 16.2N 112.9W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
36HR VT     03/0000Z 16.3N 113.2W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
48HR VT     03/1200Z 16.4N 113.5W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
72HR VT     04/1200Z 16.5N 114.0W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
 
 
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