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TROPICAL STORM ADOLPH DISCUSSION NUMBER 28
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT FRI JUN 01 2001
ADOLPH CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. THE LAST QUIKSCAT PASS AT 0200Z SHOWED
A FEW RAIN-FLAGGED 40 KT VECTORS. THE DVORAK DECAY RULES YIELD A
MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM AND THAT IS THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FOR THIS
PACKAGE. UNLESS THE NEXT QUIKSCAT SURPRISES...ADOLPH SHOULD BE A
DEPRESSION THIS AFTERNOON AND PERHAPS DISSIPATED BY THIS EVENING.
FIRST VISIBLE IMAGERY THIS MORNING CONFIRMS THAT ADOLPH IS NOT
MOVING MUCH...PERHAPS 270/3. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS CAUGHT
BETWEEN ANTICYCLONES TO ITS SOUTHWEST AND NORTH. TRACK MODEL
GUIDANCE IS DIVERGENT...BUT A SLOW WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION IS
LIKELY OVER THE TWO TO THREE DAYS AS THE CIRCULATION BEGINS TO
DISSOLVE.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 01/1500Z 16.2N 112.4W 35 KTS
12HR VT 02/0000Z 16.2N 112.6W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING
24HR VT 02/1200Z 16.2N 112.9W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING
36HR VT 03/0000Z 16.3N 113.2W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING
48HR VT 03/1200Z 16.4N 113.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING
72HR VT 04/1200Z 16.5N 114.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING
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