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HURRICANE MICHELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER  33
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM EST TUE NOV 06 2001
 
MICHELLE IS A TENACIOUS HURRICANE.  A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE STILL
FOUND A WARM CENTER WITH A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 989 MB AND WINDS OF
80 KNOTS AT 700 MB AT 1800 UTC.  THIS IS SURPRISING GIVEN THE POOR
PRESENTATION ON SATELLITE IMAGERY.  SHORTLY THEREAFTER...THE PLANE
REPORTED THAT COLD AIR WAS RAPIDLY INTRUDING THE SYSTEM AND THE
CENTER WAS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE.  MICHELLE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME
EXTRATROPICAL AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST AT 30 KNOTS.

THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON MICHELLE AND FURTHER INFORMATION 
WILL BE CONTAINED IN THE ATLANTIC HIGH SEAS FORECAST ISSUED BY THE 
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER. 

FORECASTER AVILA
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     06/2100Z 29.0N  65.3W    65 KTS
12HR VT     07/0600Z 30.5N  60.0W    60 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT     07/1800Z 33.5N  53.0W    55 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT     08/0600Z 40.0N  45.0W    50 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL

 
 
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