[NCEP Logo] HOME ARCHIVES FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE DISCUSSION NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT WED SEP 19 2001
 
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS...PRIMARILY FROM NICARAGUA...AND SATELLITE
IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE DEPRESSION HAS MOVED INLAND OVER NICARAGUA.
THE CENTER IS POORLY DEFINED AND BECAUSE IT IS INTERACTING WITH
MOUNTAINS...THE WEAKENING PROCESS HAS BEGUN. ALTHOUGH THE CLOUD
PATTERN REMAINS EXCELLENT...DEEP CONVECTION HAS DIMINISHED.  THE
WEAKENING DEPRESSION IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS AND HAS THE
POTENTIAL FOR REDEVELOPMENT IF THE CIRCULATION MOVES BACK OVER THE
PACIFIC WATERS IN A DAY OR TWO.  THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY PRODUCE
VERY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA.
 
THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION
OCCURS IN THE PACIFIC.
 
FORECASTER AVILA/COBB
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     20/0300Z 14.0N  84.0W    25 KTS
12HR VT     20/1200Z 14.0N  86.5W    20 KTS...INLAND
24HR VT     21/0000Z 14.0N  90.0W    20 KTS...INLAND
36HR VT     21/1200Z 14.0N  93.0W    20 KTS...LOW PRESSURE

 
 
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