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TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHANTAL DISCUSSION NUMBER  28
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT WED AUG 22 2001
 
MORNING VISIBLE IMAGERY AND REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF CHANTAL...
ASSUMING IT IS THE SAME CENTER WE SAW YESTERDAY...IS LOCATED
WELL SOUTHWEST OF PREVIOUS ESTIMATES JUST SOUTHEAST OF VILLAHERMOSA. 
WITH THE STRENGTH OF THE RIDGING TO THE NORTH...IT WILL BE NEARLY
IMPOSSIBLE FOR THE CENTER TO EMERGE OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE FROM
THIS POSITION.  THUS...CHANTAL IS NOW EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER
LAND.

THE AIRCRAFT FOUND 25 TO 35 KT FLIGHT LEVEL WINDS OVER THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE...AND THESE WINDS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE FOR ANOTHER 12 TO
24 HR AS THE CENTER DISSIPATES.  THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINS WILL
ALSO CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO AND CENTRAL
AMERICA.

THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ON CHANTAL UNLESS REGENERATION
OCCURS.

 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     22/1500Z 17.7N  92.5W    25 KTS...INLAND
12HR VT     23/0000Z 17.6N  93.7W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
24HR VT     23/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
 
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