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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM PDT SAT SEP 16 2000
 
...CORRECT TWELVE TO FIFTEEN-E IN FIRST PARAGRAPH...

...POORLY ORGANIZED TROPICAL DEPRESSION RE-LOCATED FURTHER SOUTH...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA SOUTH OF LATITUDE 24 DEGREES NORTH.
 
A SHIP REPORT AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E IS FURTHER SOUTH THAN THOUGHT
PREVIOUSLY.  AT 2 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL
DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.8
WEST OR ABOUT 210 MILES...340 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS ON
THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.  THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 140
MILES...225 KM...WEST OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR  9 MPH
...15 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.  THIS MOTION COULD BRING THE CENTER NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA LATE TODAY OR EARLY SUNDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL BE SPREADING INTO SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA
LATER TODAY.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUDSLIDES. 
 
REPEATING THE 2 AM PDT POSITION...20.6 N...107.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR  9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 5 AM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 8 AM
PDT.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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