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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KEITH ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT THU OCT 05 2000
...KEITH CONTINUING TO WEAKEN OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST
FROM NORTH OF TAMPICO TO LA PESCA. THIS WARNING WILL LIKELY BE
DISCONTINUED ON FRIDAY MORNING.
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KEITH WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.4 WEST OR INLAND
ABOUT 30 MILES...50 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CIUDAD VICTORIA MEXICO.
KEITH IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME DECREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...MAINLY OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. FURTHER WEAKENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND KEITH SHOULD WEAKEN TO A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON FRIDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES
...220 KM MAINLY OVER WATER TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST...ACCOMPANIED BY
DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...WILL BE GRADUALLY SUBSIDING OVERNIGHT.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINS...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE TRACK OF KEITH.
THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...23.5 N... 99.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 995 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT...FRIDAY.
FORECASTER BEVEN
NO STRIKE PROBABILITIES ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY.
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