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HURRICANE KEITH ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT THU OCT 05 2000

...KEITH INLAND...BEGINNING TO WEAKEN...
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THE FOLLOWING EXCEPTION...A HURRICANE
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF TAMPICO TO LA PESCA.
 
AT 4 PM CDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM BROWNSVILLE TO PORT
MANSFIELD TEXAS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KEITH
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  98.2 WEST
OR INLAND ABOUT 55 MILES...90 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF TAMPICO
MEXICO.
 
KEITH IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH SOME REDUCTION IN
FORWARD SPEED TOMORROW.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...MAINLY OVER WATER TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.  KEITH WILL
RAPIDLY WEAKEN TONIGHT.  
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  50 MILES... 85 KM...
EAST OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  988 MB...29.18 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSED THE COAST OF
3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS
BATTERING WAVES...WILL BE GRADUALLY SUBSIDING OVERNIGHT. 
 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINS...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE TRACK OF KEITH.
THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...22.9 N... 98.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 988 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
NO STRIKE PROBABILITIES ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY.
 
 
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