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TROPICAL STORM KEITH ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT SEP 30 2000

...KEITH STRENGTHENING AND COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL MEXICO TO CABO CATOCHE MEXICO.  HURRICANE
WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THIS AREA AND FURTHER
SOUTH TO BELIZE LATER TODAY.
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KEITH
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  86.3 WEST
OR ABOUT 115 MILES...185 KM...EAST OF CHETUMAL MEXICO AND ABOUT 165
MILES...265 KM...SOUTH OF COZUMEL MEXICO.
 
KEITH IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR  7 MPH...11 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS MORNING...FOLLOWED BY A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT OR SUNDAY.  IF THE 
CURRENT MOTION CONTINUES LONGER THAN EXPECTED...THEN HURRICANE
WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA
AND FOR BELIZE BY THIS AFTERNOON.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
KEITH WILL LIKELY BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES
...220 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT IS  985 MB...29.09 INCHES. 
 
REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...18.1 N... 86.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR  7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 985 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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