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TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOYCE ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST MON OCT 02 2000

...RAINFALL FROM JOYCE A THREAT TO THE NORTH COAST OF VENEZUELA AND
THE ABC ISLANDS....
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOYCE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  65.4 WEST
OR ABOUT 200 MILES...315 KM...EAST OF BONAIRE.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH
...24 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
 
BANDS OF SHOWERS...OCCASIONALLY HEAVY...AND GUSTY WINDS ARE
SPREADING OVER PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL ISLANDS AND THE NORTHERN
COAST OF VENEZUELA AND ARE APPROACHING THE ISLANDS OF
BONAIRE...CURACAO AND ARUBA.  DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES
MAY OCCUR WITH THIS RAINFALL.  
 
REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...12.4 N... 65.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM AST.
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
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