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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HELENE ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT FRI SEP 22 2000
...HELENE LOSING ITS PUNCH WHILE NEARING THE COAST...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PASCAGOULA EASTWARD
TO THE MOUTH OF THE AUCILLA RIVER. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT FROM WEST OF PASCAGOULA TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE HURRICANE WATCH IS DISCONTINUED.
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
HELENE WAS LOCATED BY RADAR AND BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE NEAR
LATITUDE 30.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.4 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES...
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA.
HELENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH AN ON THIS TRACK THE
CENTER SHOULD CROSS THE COAST WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA
SOON.
HELENE HAS BEEN WEAKENING AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50
MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. FURTHER
WEAKENING IS FORECAST.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES TO THE
EAST OF THE CENTER.
LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE
WAS 1003 MB...29.61 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...WITH
HIGHER LEVELS IN BAYS...ACCOMPANIED BY BATTERING WAVES...IS LIKELY
NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS...
ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF HELENE.
THERE IS A THREAT OF ISOLATED TORNADOES OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
TODAY.
REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...30.0 N... 87.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 7 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM
CDT.
FORECASTER AVILA
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