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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1 PM AST SAT SEP 16 2000

...DEPRESSION BECOMING A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE...
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS IS
DISCONTINUED.  HOWEVER WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE IN SQUALLS
WILL LIKELY OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT THE
DEPRESSION DOES NOT HAVE A CLOSED CIRCULATION.
 
AT 1 PM AST...1700Z...THE DISSIPATING CENTER OF THE TROPICAL
DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  58.0
WEST OR ABOUT 230 MILES...370 KM...EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.
 
THE DEPRESSIONS REMNANT...A TROPICAL WAVE...IS MOVING TOWARD THE
WEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THIS WILL BRING THE STRONG TROPICAL
WAVE ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 1 PM AST POSITION...16.0 N... 58.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 17 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS
SYSTEM...UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS.
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
NO STRIKE PROBABILITIES ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY.
 
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