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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST FRI SEP 15 2000
 
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...TROPICAL
STORM WATCH ISSUED...

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DUTCH NETHERLAND
ANTILLES HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR ST.
MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS.

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE POORLY ORGANIZED CENTER OF THE TROPICAL
DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  54.0
WEST OR ABOUT 470 MILES...760 KM...EAST OF GUADELOUPE IN THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH
...20 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON
SATURDAY.  TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR
OTHER PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS ON SATURDAY.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...15.9 N... 54.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM AST...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
AST...SATURDAY.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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