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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT FRI SEP 15 2000

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENTERING OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO... 
 
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE
THAT AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION
WAS EMERGING OFF THE NORTH COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR
LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE  88.9 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES...105
KM...NORTHEAST OF MERIDA MEXICO.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR
...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IS EXPECTED TODAY BUT THE DEPRESSION
COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
 
HEAVY RAINS WITH THE DEPRESSION ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF WESTERN
CUBA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.
 
REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...21.6 N... 88.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR  6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
4 PM CDT.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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