HOME	PRODUCTS	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KEITH INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  28A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1 PM CDT THU OCT 05 2000
 
...KEITH MAKING LANDFALL JUST NORTH OF TAMPICO MEXICO...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST FROM
TUXPAN TO MATAMOROS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT SOUTH
OF TUXPAN TO VERACRUZ MEXICO...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT SOUTH OF VERACRUZ TO COATZACOALCOS MEXICO.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM BROWNSVILLE TO PORT
MANSFIELD TEXAS.
 
AT 1 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KEITH WAS LOCATED BY
TAMPICO RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  97.9 WEST.  THIS
POSITION IS ON THE COAST OF MEXICO ABOUT 30 MILES...45 KM...NORTH-
NORTHWEST OF TAMPICO MEXICO.  
 
KEITH IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR.  THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AND TAKE KEITH INLAND TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  KEITH IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY AFTER LANDFALL.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  50 MILES... 85 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM.
 
THE MOST RECENT PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 984
MB...29.06 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO
THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINS...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE TRACK OF KEITH.
THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 1 PM CDT POSITION...22.6 N... 97.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 90 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 984 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 PM CDT.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
NNNN