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HURRICANE MICHAEL SPECIAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM AST THU OCT 19 2000
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 2 PM AST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF MICHAEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 44.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  58.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST SUN OCT 22 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
50.0N  53.5W      22  X  X  X 22   BURGEO NFLD       25  X  X  X 25
SABLE ISLAND NS   24  X  X  X 24   ILE ST PIERRE     38  X  X  X 38
SYDNEY NS         10  X  X  X 10   CAPE RACE NFLD    29  X  X  X 29
EDDY POINT NS      3  X  X  X  3   HIBERNIA OILFLD    6  X  X  X  6
PTX BASQUES NFLD  14  X  X  X 14
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
C FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
D FROM  8AM SAT TO  8AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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