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HURRICANE MICHAEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT TUE OCT 17 2000
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF MICHAEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  70.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT FRI OCT 20 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
33.0N  69.2W      43  X  X  X 43   EASTPORT ME        X  X  4  X  4
36.5N  65.7W       X 19  5  X 24   ST JOHN NB         X  X  4  X  4
41.5N  60.5W       X  X 11  X 11   MONCTON NB         X  X  4  X  4
BERMUDA            X  7  3  X 10   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  7  X  7
PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  2  X  2   HALIFAX NS         X  X  7  X  7
NANTUCKET MA       X  1  3  X  4   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  7  X  7
HYANNIS MA         X  1  2  X  3   SYDNEY NS          X  X  3  X  3
BOSTON MA          X  X  2  X  2   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  5  X  5
PORTLAND ME        X  X  2  X  2   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  2  X  2
BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  3  X  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
C FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
D FROM  8PM THU TO  8PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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