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TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT TUE OCT 17 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF MICHAEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT FRI OCT 20 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
32.0N 70.0W 41 X X 1 42 BOSTON MA X X 3 6 9
34.0N 69.0W 14 7 2 X 23 PORTLAND ME X X 2 7 9
38.0N 66.0W X 4 11 2 17 BAR HARBOR ME X X 2 8 10
BERMUDA X 3 5 2 10 EASTPORT ME X X 2 8 10
WILMINGTON NC X X 1 1 2 ST JOHN NB X X 2 9 11
MOREHEAD CITY NC X 1 1 1 3 MONCTON NB X X 1 9 10
CAPE HATTERAS NC X 1 4 1 6 YARMOUTH NS X X 3 9 12
NORFOLK VA X X 2 2 4 HALIFAX NS X X 2 10 12
OCEAN CITY MD X X 3 2 5 SABLE ISLAND NS X X 1 9 10
ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X 2 4 6 SYDNEY NS X X X 10 10
NEW YORK CITY NY X X 2 4 6 EDDY POINT NS X X 1 10 11
MONTAUK POINT NY X X 4 5 9 PTX BASQUES NFLD X X X 9 9
PROVIDENCE RI X X 4 5 9 BURGEO NFLD X X X 8 8
NANTUCKET MA X X 6 5 11 ILE ST PIERRE X X X 7 7
HYANNIS MA X X 5 5 10 CAPE RACE NFLD X X X 4 4
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM WED TO 8PM WED
C FROM 8PM WED TO 8AM THU
D FROM 8AM THU TO 8AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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