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HURRICANE KEITH PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT MON OCT 02 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF KEITH WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.8 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1AM CDT THU OCT 5 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
19.0N 88.0W 49 X X X 49 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 4 4
20.0N 88.4W 28 1 1 X 30 PENSACOLA FL X X X 5 5
21.5N 89.0W 5 13 3 1 22 MOBILE AL X X X 6 6
MUSN 216N 826W X X 1 1 2 GULFPORT MS X X X 7 7
MUHA 230N 824W X X X 2 2 BURAS LA X X X 9 9
MUAN 219N 850W X 5 4 2 11 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 8 8
MMCZ 205N 869W 20 3 1 1 25 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 8 8
MZBZ 175N 883W 99 X X X 99 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 6 6
MGPB 157N 886W 2 3 2 1 8 GALVESTON TX X X X 6 6
MHNJ 165N 859W 7 2 1 X 10 FREEPORT TX X X X 6 6
MMSO 238N 982W X X X 4 4 PORT O CONNOR TX X X X 5 5
MMTM 222N 979W X X X 4 4 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X X X 4 4
MMTX 210N 974W X X X 4 4 BROWNSVILLE TX X X X 5 5
MMVR 192N 961W X X X 4 4 GULF 29N 85W X X X 4 4
MMFR 185N 926W X 1 3 5 9 GULF 29N 87W X X 1 6 7
MMMD 210N 897W 6 11 2 2 21 GULF 28N 89W X X 2 9 11
VENICE FL X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 91W X X 1 10 11
TAMPA FL X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 93W X X X 10 10
CEDAR KEY FL X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 95W X X X 7 7
ST MARKS FL X X X 2 2 GULF 27N 96W X X X 7 7
APALACHICOLA FL X X X 4 4 GULF 25N 96W X X X 7 7
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1AM TUE TO 1PM TUE
C FROM 1PM TUE TO 1AM WED
D FROM 1AM WED TO 1AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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