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HURRICANE KEITH PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT SUN OCT 01 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF KEITH WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.9 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7PM CDT WED OCT 4 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
19.0N 88.0W 49 X X X 49 GULFPORT MS X X X 8 8
20.3N 88.6W 27 3 X 1 31 BURAS LA X X 1 9 10
22.0N 89.5W 1 16 5 1 23 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 9 9
MUAN 219N 850W X 3 3 2 8 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 10 10
MMCZ 205N 869W 23 4 1 X 28 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 8 8
MZBZ 175N 883W 99 X X X 99 GALVESTON TX X X X 8 8
MGPB 157N 886W 2 2 2 1 7 FREEPORT TX X X X 7 7
MHNJ 165N 859W 6 2 1 X 9 PORT O CONNOR TX X X X 6 6
MMSO 238N 982W X X X 3 3 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X X X 5 5
MMTM 222N 979W X X X 3 3 BROWNSVILLE TX X X X 5 5
MMTX 210N 974W X X X 3 3 GULF 29N 85W X X X 3 3
MMVR 192N 961W X X X 3 3 GULF 29N 87W X X X 7 7
MMFR 185N 926W X X 1 6 7 GULF 28N 89W X X 3 9 12
MMMD 210N 897W 4 14 3 1 22 GULF 28N 91W X X 2 11 13
ST MARKS FL X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 93W X X 1 10 11
APALACHICOLA FL X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 95W X X X 9 9
PANAMA CITY FL X X X 3 3 GULF 27N 96W X X X 7 7
PENSACOLA FL X X X 5 5 GULF 25N 96W X X X 7 7
MOBILE AL X X X 7 7
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7PM MON TO 7AM TUE
C FROM 7AM TUE TO 7PM TUE
D FROM 7PM TUE TO 7PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
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