[NCEP Logo] HOME PRODUCTS FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE KEITH PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT SUN OCT 01 2000
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF KEITH WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  87.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT WED OCT  4 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
18.7N  87.3W      99  X  X  X 99   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  4  4
19.5N  87.5W      32  1  X  X 33   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  5  5
21.0N  88.0W       8 11  2  2 23   MOBILE AL          X  X  X  5  5
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  1  3  4   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  6  6
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  4  4   BURAS LA           X  X  X  8  8
MUAN 219N 850W     1  7  4  3 15   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  6  6
MMCZ 205N 869W    19  6  1  X 26   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X  5  5
MZBZ 175N 883W    99  X  X  X 99   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  3  3
MGPB 157N 886W     1  2  1  2  6   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X  3  3
MHNJ 165N 859W    13  2  1  X 16   FREEPORT TX        X  X  X  2  2
MMFR 185N 926W     X  X  X  5  5   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  X  2  2
MMMD 210N 897W     1  6  6  3 16   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  5  5
KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  2  2   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  7  7
MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  1  9 10
FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  1  8  9
VENICE FL          X  X  X  3  3   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  6  6
TAMPA FL           X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X  3  3
CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  2  2   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X  2  2
ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  3  3   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  X  3  3
APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  4  4
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM MON TO  1PM MON
C FROM  1PM MON TO  1AM TUE
D FROM  1AM TUE TO  1AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
NNNN


Problems?