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HURRICANE KEITH PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT SUN OCT 01 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF KEITH WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1AM CDT WED OCT 4 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
18.7N 87.3W 99 X X X 99 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 4 4
19.5N 87.5W 32 1 X X 33 PENSACOLA FL X X X 5 5
21.0N 88.0W 8 11 2 2 23 MOBILE AL X X X 5 5
MUSN 216N 826W X X 1 3 4 GULFPORT MS X X X 6 6
MUHA 230N 824W X X X 4 4 BURAS LA X X X 8 8
MUAN 219N 850W 1 7 4 3 15 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 6 6
MMCZ 205N 869W 19 6 1 X 26 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 5 5
MZBZ 175N 883W 99 X X X 99 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 3 3
MGPB 157N 886W 1 2 1 2 6 GALVESTON TX X X X 3 3
MHNJ 165N 859W 13 2 1 X 16 FREEPORT TX X X X 2 2
MMFR 185N 926W X X X 5 5 PORT O CONNOR TX X X X 2 2
MMMD 210N 897W 1 6 6 3 16 GULF 29N 85W X X X 5 5
KEY WEST FL X X X 2 2 GULF 29N 87W X X X 7 7
MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 89W X X 1 9 10
FT MYERS FL X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 91W X X 1 8 9
VENICE FL X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 93W X X X 6 6
TAMPA FL X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 95W X X X 3 3
CEDAR KEY FL X X X 2 2 GULF 27N 96W X X X 2 2
ST MARKS FL X X X 3 3 GULF 25N 96W X X X 3 3
APALACHICOLA FL X X X 4 4
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1AM MON TO 1PM MON
C FROM 1PM MON TO 1AM TUE
D FROM 1AM TUE TO 1AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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