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HURRICANE KEITH PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT SAT SEP 30 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF KEITH WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.1 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7PM CDT TUE OCT 3 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
19.0N 87.5W 83 X X X 83 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 2 2
20.0N 87.6W 29 1 1 X 31 ST MARKS FL X X X 2 2
21.0N 87.7W 14 8 2 1 25 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 3 3
MWCG 193N 814W X 1 3 3 7 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 3 3
MUCM 214N 779W X X X 2 2 PENSACOLA FL X X X 3 3
MUCF 221N 805W X X 2 5 7 MOBILE AL X X X 3 3
MUSN 216N 826W X 3 6 4 13 GULFPORT MS X X X 3 3
MUHA 230N 824W X X 4 7 11 BURAS LA X X X 5 5
MUAN 219N 850W 2 10 5 2 19 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 4 4
MMCZ 205N 869W 25 2 1 X 28 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 3 3
MZBZ 175N 883W 32 X X X 32 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 2 2
MGPB 157N 886W 1 X X 1 2 GALVESTON TX X X X 3 3
MHNJ 165N 859W 5 1 X 1 7 FREEPORT TX X X X 3 3
MMFR 185N 926W X X 1 2 3 PORT O CONNOR TX X X X 2 2
MMMD 210N 897W 1 11 4 2 18 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X X X 2 2
MARATHON FL X X X 6 6 BROWNSVILLE TX X X X 2 2
MIAMI FL X X X 3 3 GULF 29N 85W X X X 4 4
W PALM BEACH FL X X X 2 2 GULF 29N 87W X X X 5 5
FT PIERCE FL X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 89W X X X 7 7
COCOA BEACH FL X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 91W X X X 7 7
KEY WEST FL X X 1 6 7 GULF 28N 93W X X X 5 5
MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 5 5 GULF 28N 95W X X X 4 4
FT MYERS FL X X X 4 4 GULF 27N 96W X X X 3 3
VENICE FL X X X 4 4 GULF 25N 96W X X X 4 4
TAMPA FL X X X 3 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7PM SUN TO 7AM MON
C FROM 7AM MON TO 7PM MON
D FROM 7PM MON TO 7PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
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