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HURRICANE KEITH PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SAT SEP 30 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF KEITH WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.8 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1PM CDT TUE OCT 3 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
19.5N 87.2W 55 X X X 55 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 2 2
20.3N 87.4W 41 X 1 X 42 PENSACOLA FL X X X 2 2
21.0N 87.5W 26 3 1 X 30 MOBILE AL X X X 3 3
MWCG 193N 814W X X 4 4 8 GULFPORT MS X X X 3 3
MUCF 221N 805W X X X 4 4 BURAS LA X X X 5 5
MUSN 216N 826W X X 4 6 10 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 4 4
MUHA 230N 824W X X 1 6 7 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 4 4
MUAN 219N 850W 1 6 6 4 17 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 3 3
MMCZ 205N 869W 37 X 1 X 38 GALVESTON TX X X X 3 3
MZBZ 175N 883W 14 1 X 1 16 FREEPORT TX X X X 3 3
MGPB 157N 886W X X X 3 3 PORT O CONNOR TX X X X 2 2
MHNJ 165N 859W 7 X 1 2 10 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X X X 2 2
MNPC 141N 834W X X X 2 2 BROWNSVILLE TX X X X 2 2
MMFR 185N 926W X X X 3 3 GULF 29N 85W X X X 3 3
MMMD 210N 897W 4 9 3 3 19 GULF 29N 87W X X X 4 4
MARATHON FL X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 89W X X X 7 7
KEY WEST FL X X X 4 4 GULF 28N 91W X X X 7 7
MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 93W X X X 6 6
FT MYERS FL X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 95W X X X 4 4
VENICE FL X X X 3 3 GULF 27N 96W X X X 3 3
TAMPA FL X X X 2 2 GULF 25N 96W X X X 4 4
APALACHICOLA FL X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1PM SUN TO 1AM MON
C FROM 1AM MON TO 1PM MON
D FROM 1PM MON TO 1PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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