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TROPICAL STORM KEITH PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT FRI SEP 29 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF KEITH WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT MON OCT 2 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
18.9N 85.7W 99 X X X 99 KEY WEST FL X X 1 5 6
19.6N 86.1W 34 X X X 34 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 4 4
20.5N 86.5W 15 7 1 2 25 FT MYERS FL X X X 3 3
MKJS 185N 779W X X X 2 2 VENICE FL X X X 3 3
MWCG 193N 814W 1 3 3 4 11 TAMPA FL X X X 2 2
MUCM 214N 779W X X X 2 2 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 2 2
MUCF 221N 805W X X 1 5 6 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 2 2
MUSN 216N 826W 1 4 4 4 13 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 2 2
MUHA 230N 824W X 1 3 6 10 PENSACOLA FL X X X 2 2
MUAN 219N 850W 2 11 4 2 19 MOBILE AL X X X 2 2
MMCZ 205N 869W 12 8 2 1 23 GULFPORT MS X X X 2 2
MZBZ 175N 883W 4 3 2 3 12 BURAS LA X X X 3 3
MGPB 157N 886W X X 1 4 5 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 2 2
MHNJ 165N 859W 25 X 1 X 26 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 2 2
MNPC 141N 834W X X 1 2 3 GULF 29N 85W X X X 3 3
MMFR 185N 926W X X X 3 3 GULF 29N 87W X X X 4 4
MMMD 210N 897W X 3 5 5 13 GULF 28N 89W X X X 6 6
MARATHON FL X X X 5 5 GULF 28N 91W X X X 5 5
MIAMI FL X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 93W X X X 3 3
W PALM BEACH FL X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM SAT TO 8AM SUN
C FROM 8AM SUN TO 8PM SUN
D FROM 8PM SUN TO 8PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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