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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT FRI SEP 29 2000
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  83.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT MON OCT  2 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
17.2N  83.5W      99  X  X  X 99   MNPC 141N 834W     X  2  2  4  8
17.8N  83.9W      36  X  X  1 37   MNBL 120N 839W     X  X  X  2  2
18.5N  84.2W      17  7  1  1 26   SKSP 126N 817W     X  X  1  2  3
MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  X  3  3   MMFR 185N 926W     X  X  X  2  2
MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  1  4  5   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  3  6  9
MWCG 193N 814W     5  5  3  3 16   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  4  4
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  3  3   MIAMI FL           X  X  X  2  2
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  1  6  7   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  5  5
MUSN 216N 826W     X  1  5  6 12   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  3  3
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  1  8  9   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  3  3
MUAN 219N 850W     X  1  6  7 14   VENICE FL          X  X  X  2  2
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  4  7  5 16   TAMPA FL           X  X  X  2  2
MZBZ 175N 883W     X  2  3  5 10   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  2  2
MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  1  4  5   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  2  2
MHNJ 165N 859W    10  3  2  2 17   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
C FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
D FROM  2AM SUN TO  2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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