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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT FRI SEP 29 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.2 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT MON OCT 2 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
17.2N 83.5W 99 X X X 99 MNPC 141N 834W X 2 2 4 8
17.8N 83.9W 36 X X 1 37 MNBL 120N 839W X X X 2 2
18.5N 84.2W 17 7 1 1 26 SKSP 126N 817W X X 1 2 3
MKJP 179N 768W X X X 3 3 MMFR 185N 926W X X X 2 2
MKJS 185N 779W X X 1 4 5 MMMD 210N 897W X X 3 6 9
MWCG 193N 814W 5 5 3 3 16 MARATHON FL X X X 4 4
MUCM 214N 779W X X X 3 3 MIAMI FL X X X 2 2
MUCF 221N 805W X X 1 6 7 KEY WEST FL X X X 5 5
MUSN 216N 826W X 1 5 6 12 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 3 3
MUHA 230N 824W X X 1 8 9 FT MYERS FL X X X 3 3
MUAN 219N 850W X 1 6 7 14 VENICE FL X X X 2 2
MMCZ 205N 869W X 4 7 5 16 TAMPA FL X X X 2 2
MZBZ 175N 883W X 2 3 5 10 GULF 29N 87W X X X 2 2
MGPB 157N 886W X X 1 4 5 GULF 28N 89W X X X 2 2
MHNJ 165N 859W 10 3 2 2 17 GULF 28N 91W X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM SAT TO 2PM SAT
C FROM 2PM SAT TO 2AM SUN
D FROM 2AM SUN TO 2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
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