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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT THU SEP 28 2000
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  83.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT SUN OCT  1 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
16.9N  83.7W      99  X  X  X 99   MZBZ 175N 883W     X  2  5  5 12
17.2N  83.8W      48  X  X  X 48   MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  2  5  7
17.5N  84.0W      34  X  X  1 35   MHNJ 165N 859W     8  5  3  2 18
MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  1  3  4   MNPC 141N 834W     4  3  2  3 12
MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  2  4  6   MNBL 120N 839W     X  X  X  4  4
MWCG 193N 814W     4  4  3  4 15   SKSP 126N 817W     X  X  1  4  5
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  3  3   MMFR 185N 926W     X  X  X  3  3
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X  6  6   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  2  7  9
MUSN 216N 826W     X  1  2  7 10   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  3  3
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  6  6   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  3  3
MUAN 219N 850W     X  1  3  7 11   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  2  2
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  3  5  6 14
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
C FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
D FROM  8PM SAT TO  8PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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