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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU SEP 28 2000
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  82.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT SUN OCT  1 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
16.7N  83.3W      99  X  X  X 99   MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  1  6  7
17.0N  83.5W      99  X  X  X 99   MHNJ 165N 859W     7  4  3  3 17
17.5N  84.0W      33  X  1  X 34   MNPC 141N 834W     3  5  3  4 15
MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  1  2  3   MNBL 120N 839W     X  X  2  5  7
MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  2  4  6   SKSP 126N 817W     X  1  3  4  8
MWCG 193N 814W     5  6  3  3 17   MRLM 100N 831W     X  X  X  3  3
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  3  3   MMFR 185N 926W     X  X  X  2  2
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  2  5  7   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  1  6  7
MUSN 216N 826W     X  2  5  5 12   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  3  3
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  2  6  8   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  4  4
MUAN 219N 850W     X  1  6  6 13   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  2  2
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  1  6  6 13   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  2  2
MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  3  7 10
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
C FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
D FROM  2PM SAT TO  2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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