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TROPICAL STORM JOYCE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  23
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SUN OCT 01 2000
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF JOYCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  60.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST WED OCT  4 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
12.4N  65.0W      54  X  X  X 54   MTPP 186N 724W     X  X  1 11 12
13.3N  67.2W       4 28  X  X 32   MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  X 13 13
14.0N  69.5W       X 11 11  1 23   MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  X 11 11
SKPG 125N 717W     X  1 12  4 17   MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  X  8  8
TNCC 122N 690W     X 16  5  X 21   MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  X  8  8
SVMG 110N 640W    56  X  X  X 56   MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  2  2
TTPP 106N 614W    99  X  X  X 99   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  1  2  1  4
TTPT 112N 608W    99  X  X  X 99   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  1  6  7
TGPY 120N 618W    92  X  X  X 92   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  X  3  3
TVSV 131N 612W    25  X  X  X 25   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  X  2  2
TISX 177N 648W     X  1  2  X  3   ST CROIX VI        X  1  2  X  3
TIST 183N 650W     X  X  2  X  2   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  2  X  2
TJPS 180N 666W     X  1  4  2  7   SAN JUAN PR        X  1  2  1  4
MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  4  6 10   PONCE PR           X  1  4  2  7
MDCB 176N 714W     X  X  5 10 15
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
C FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
D FROM  2AM TUE TO  2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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