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TROPICAL STORM JOYCE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SAT SEP 30 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF JOYCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.1 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM AST TUE OCT 3 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
11.3N 61.4W 56 X X X 56 TISX 177N 648W X X 2 4 6
12.0N 64.0W 1 32 X X 33 TIST 183N 650W X X 1 4 5
13.0N 66.5W X 8 17 1 26 TJPS 180N 666W X X 2 7 9
SKPG 125N 717W X X 1 13 14 MDSD 185N 697W X X X 10 10
TNCC 122N 690W X X 12 7 19 MDCB 176N 714W X X X 11 11
SVMG 110N 640W 1 29 X 1 31 MTPP 186N 724W X X X 8 8
TTPP 106N 614W 51 X X X 51 MTCA 183N 738W X X X 6 6
TTPT 112N 608W 63 X X X 63 MKJP 179N 768W X X X 2 2
TGPY 120N 618W 47 3 X X 50 MUGM 200N 751W X X X 2 2
TBPB 131N 595W 27 X X X 27 TJSJ 184N 661W X X 1 6 7
TVSV 131N 612W 34 3 X 1 38 MDPP 198N 707W X X X 6 6
TLPL 138N 610W 17 6 X X 23 MBJT 215N 712W X X X 2 2
TFFF 146N 610W 4 6 X 1 11 ST CROIX VI X X 2 4 6
TDPR 153N 614W 1 4 1 X 6 ST THOMAS VI X X 1 4 5
TFFR 163N 615W X 1 1 X 2 SAN JUAN PR X X 1 6 7
TKPK 173N 627W X X 1 1 2 PONCE PR X X 2 7 9
TNCM 181N 631W X X 1 1 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM SUN TO 8PM SUN
C FROM 8PM SUN TO 8AM MON
D FROM 8AM MON TO 8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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