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TROPICAL STORM JOYCE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  18
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST FRI SEP 29 2000
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF JOYCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  53.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST MON OCT  2 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
11.7N  57.0W      54  X  X  X 54   TAPA 171N 618W     X  X  8  8 16
12.8N  59.2W       2 31  X  X 33   TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  6 10 16
13.8N  61.2W       X 14  9  1 24   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  2 12 14
TNCC 122N 690W     X  X  X  5  5   TISX 177N 648W     X  X  1 14 15
SVMG 110N 640W     X  X  6  4 10   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  1 12 13
TTPP 106N 614W     X  6  6  1 13   TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  X 12 12
TTPT 112N 608W     X 15  3  1 19   MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  X  6  6
TGPY 120N 618W     X  9  9  1 19   MDCB 176N 714W     X  X  X  3  3
TBPB 131N 595W     X 31  X  X 31   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  X 12 12
TVSV 131N 612W     X 16  7  1 24   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  X  2  2
TLPL 138N 610W     X 16  8  1 25   ST CROIX VI        X  X  1 14 15
TFFF 146N 610W     X 11 10  2 23   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  1 12 13
TDPR 153N 614W     X  4 14  3 21   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  X 12 12
TFFR 163N 615W     X  1 12  5 18   PONCE PR           X  X  X 12 12
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
C FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
D FROM  8PM SUN TO  8PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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