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TROPICAL STORM HELENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT FRI SEP 22 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.1 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7AM CDT MON SEP 25 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
34.6N 81.3W 28 4 X X 32 PORTLAND ME X X 4 7 11
36.4N 77.1W X 22 3 X 25 BAR HARBOR ME X X 2 9 11
38.5N 72.0W X 2 17 2 21 EASTPORT ME X X 1 10 11
BERMUDA X X X 2 2 ST JOHN NB X X 1 9 10
DAYTONA BEACH FL 1 1 X X 2 MONCTON NB X X X 9 9
JACKSONVILLE FL 11 2 X X 13 YARMOUTH NS X X 2 11 13
SAVANNAH GA 25 2 X X 27 HALIFAX NS X X X 12 12
CHARLESTON SC 16 9 X X 25 SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 12 12
MYRTLE BEACH SC 7 17 X X 24 SYDNEY NS X X X 10 10
WILMINGTON NC 2 20 2 X 24 EDDY POINT NS X X X 11 11
MOREHEAD CITY NC X 18 4 X 22 PTX BASQUES NFLD X X X 7 7
CAPE HATTERAS NC X 14 8 X 22 BURGEO NFLD X X X 7 7
NORFOLK VA X 19 5 X 24 ILE ST PIERRE X X X 7 7
OCEAN CITY MD X 12 10 X 22 CAPE RACE NFLD X X X 5 5
ATLANTIC CITY NJ X 6 12 1 19 CEDAR KEY FL 1 1 X X 2
NEW YORK CITY NY X 3 12 1 16 ST MARKS FL 49 1 X X 50
MONTAUK POINT NY X 1 12 3 16 APALACHICOLA FL 75 X X X 75
PROVIDENCE RI X X 11 4 15 PANAMA CITY FL 99 X X X 99
NANTUCKET MA X X 11 6 17 PENSACOLA FL 99 X X X 99
HYANNIS MA X X 10 6 16 GULF 29N 85W 14 X X X 14
BOSTON MA X X 8 5 13
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7AM SAT TO 7PM SAT
C FROM 7PM SAT TO 7AM SUN
D FROM 7AM SUN TO 7AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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