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TROPICAL STORM HELENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT FRI SEP 22 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.4 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1AM CDT MON SEP 25 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
34.0N 83.5W 27 5 X X 32 PORTLAND ME X X X 8 8
36.0N 80.0W X 18 3 X 21 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 8 8
37.5N 75.0W X 1 13 2 16 EASTPORT ME X X X 7 7
BERMUDA X X X 5 5 ST JOHN NB X X X 7 7
JACKSONVILLE FL 5 5 X X 10 MONCTON NB X X X 5 5
SAVANNAH GA 14 9 X X 23 YARMOUTH NS X X X 8 8
CHARLESTON SC 5 16 1 X 22 HALIFAX NS X X X 7 7
MYRTLE BEACH SC 1 18 2 X 21 SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 4 4
WILMINGTON NC X 15 5 X 20 SYDNEY NS X X X 3 3
MOREHEAD CITY NC X 9 9 1 19 EDDY POINT NS X X X 4 4
CAPE HATTERAS NC X 4 13 1 18 PTX BASQUES NFLD X X X 2 2
NORFOLK VA X 3 14 X 17 ST MARKS FL 14 1 X X 15
OCEAN CITY MD X 1 11 3 15 APALACHICOLA FL 17 1 X X 18
ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X 8 5 13 PANAMA CITY FL 48 X X X 48
NEW YORK CITY NY X X 5 6 11 PENSACOLA FL 99 X X X 99
MONTAUK POINT NY X X 2 9 11 MOBILE AL 99 X X X 99
PROVIDENCE RI X X 1 10 11 GULFPORT MS 5 X X X 5
NANTUCKET MA X X 1 10 11 GULF 29N 85W 21 X X X 21
HYANNIS MA X X 1 10 11 GULF 29N 87W 99 X X X 99
BOSTON MA X X 1 9 10
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1AM SAT TO 1PM SAT
C FROM 1PM SAT TO 1AM SUN
D FROM 1AM SUN TO 1AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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