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TROPICAL STORM HELENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT THU SEP 21 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.2 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1PM CDT SUN SEP 24 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
31.1N 86.0W 32 1 X X 33 NANTUCKET MA X X X 7 7
32.8N 84.1W 7 12 1 X 20 HYANNIS MA X X X 7 7
34.5N 80.5W X 3 11 2 16 BOSTON MA X X X 7 7
MYNN 251N 775W X X 1 1 2 PORTLAND ME X X X 5 5
MYGF 266N 787W X X 2 2 4 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 3 3
BERMUDA X X X 2 2 EASTPORT ME X X X 2 2
MIAMI FL X X 2 1 3 ST JOHN NB X X X 2 2
W PALM BEACH FL X 1 3 1 5 YARMOUTH NS X X X 3 3
FT PIERCE FL X 2 4 1 7 MARCO ISLAND FL X 1 2 1 4
COCOA BEACH FL X 3 6 X 9 FT MYERS FL X 2 3 1 6
DAYTONA BEACH FL 1 6 5 1 13 VENICE FL X 4 3 X 7
JACKSONVILLE FL 2 10 4 X 16 TAMPA FL 2 6 3 X 11
SAVANNAH GA X 9 7 1 17 CEDAR KEY FL 10 5 1 X 16
CHARLESTON SC X 3 11 2 16 ST MARKS FL 26 X 1 X 27
MYRTLE BEACH SC X 1 10 4 15 APALACHICOLA FL 36 X X X 36
WILMINGTON NC X X 8 6 14 PANAMA CITY FL 41 X X X 41
MOREHEAD CITY NC X X 5 8 13 PENSACOLA FL 38 X X X 38
CAPE HATTERAS NC X X 2 11 13 MOBILE AL 24 X X X 24
NORFOLK VA X X 2 11 13 GULFPORT MS 16 X X X 16
OCEAN CITY MD X X 1 11 12 BURAS LA 12 X X X 12
ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 11 11 NEW ORLEANS LA 3 X X X 3
NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 9 9 GULF 29N 85W 36 X X X 36
MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 8 8 GULF 29N 87W 69 X X X 69
PROVIDENCE RI X X X 8 8 GULF 28N 89W 34 X X X 34
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1PM FRI TO 1AM SAT
C FROM 1AM SAT TO 1PM SAT
D FROM 1PM SAT TO 1PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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